some quick thoughts
on the Mumbai incident.
- Lashkar-e-Toiba has always been thought of as a project of the ISI's. Recent evidence and pointed fingers suggest cooperation between the ISI and al-Qaeda as well. If either terrorist organisation is shown to be involved, there will be quite a big diplomatic brouhaha.
- If a conflict, or if the potential for conflict arises between India and Pakistan, Pakistani troops would be redirected to the Indian border. Pressure against the Taliban and allied foreign fighters on the western border will diminish significantly. Taliban/Qaeda supporters in the NWFP will stand to gain. Whether or not the Taliban has support the support of elements in the ISI or Pakistani army is moot; it would be free to maneuver throughout the region.
- Could the attacks then have been orchestrated by supporters of the Taliban/Qaeda within the ISI or Pakistani military? If so could this also have the effect of forcing the US to rein in its strikes into Pakistan, so as not to been seen as setting an example for India?
Hmm.
- Lashkar-e-Toiba has always been thought of as a project of the ISI's. Recent evidence and pointed fingers suggest cooperation between the ISI and al-Qaeda as well. If either terrorist organisation is shown to be involved, there will be quite a big diplomatic brouhaha.
- If a conflict, or if the potential for conflict arises between India and Pakistan, Pakistani troops would be redirected to the Indian border. Pressure against the Taliban and allied foreign fighters on the western border will diminish significantly. Taliban/Qaeda supporters in the NWFP will stand to gain. Whether or not the Taliban has support the support of elements in the ISI or Pakistani army is moot; it would be free to maneuver throughout the region.
- Could the attacks then have been orchestrated by supporters of the Taliban/Qaeda within the ISI or Pakistani military? If so could this also have the effect of forcing the US to rein in its strikes into Pakistan, so as not to been seen as setting an example for India?
Hmm.
Labels: geopolitics, thoughts
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